A win for democracy as Joko Widodo
becomes
Indonesia's president elect.
The announcement came as the only other candidate, former Suharto army general, Prabowo Subianto, dramatically quit only hours before the formal election result was announced.
Despite the withdrawal of Prabowo, in choosing Joko Widodo (or
‘Jokowi’ as he is known), with the final vote at 53%-47%, Indonesians have
chosen a continuance of true democracy for their country of 240 million people
and resisted the temptation to revert to a more authoritarian rule.
Whilst the result is a good outcome for Indonesia and the region
including Australia, it must be remembered that 47% of Indonesian voters
actually voted for Prabowo to lead their country. This is of some concern and
will place enormous pressure on the new president with nearly half the nation
wanting a more authoritarian leadership - along with what Melbourne University’s
Professor Tim Lindsey calls 'patrimonialism and cronyism' - and the other half
(who voted for Jokowi) with very high and immediate expectations of the new
president, including stamping out corruption and improved living
standards.
Jokowi’s running mate and incoming vice-president, Jusuf Kalla
will be critical in developing a successful Jokowi presidency. Kalla has held
the national vice-presidency before, and has wide experience in international
affairs and business, so they should complement each other well as our northern
neighbour seeks to address a number of major social and economic issues
including education, communication, health, food, energy and importantly,
infrastructure.
With 100 million people still living in poverty and some 20
million Indonesians classified as malnourished, the challenges are large.
Australia can help, whilst opening opportunities for our own country through the
development of partnerships with Indonesian companies, agencies and
NGO’s.
The appointment of Indonesia’s new foreign minister will be
watched by the Abbott government closely. Jokowi may be tempted to keep the
incumbent, Dr. Marty Natalegawa, in the job, although this is not a sure bet.
The new president may prefer to cut all links with the outgoing president,
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, in which case we will find ourselves dealing with a
new foreign minister on issues such as boat turn-backs, renewed terrorism
threats and the rise of China in the region.
Meanwhile, the defeated candidate, Prabowo Subianto threatens to
create a period of instability as he moves to appeal the formal count. His
‘friends’ will also be less than happy with this result and with considerable
leverage within the national parliament, they appear set to continue the 'black'
campaign to destabilize the new leader.
The presidential election should however, be seen as a major win
for democracy. Creating a democracy is one thing; keeping it alive and vibrant is
quite another. Whilst Indonesians look at the disintegration of the democratic
dream in the ‘Arab Spring’ countries,
they can take considerable pride in pointing out that this sprawling
archipelago, with so many ethnic and religious groups, has quietly held onto its
democratic principles and structure.
And that's good for Indonesia, Australia and what is at present, a
very fragile world.
Ross
B. Taylor AM
is the president of the Indonesia Institute
(Inc)
23 July 2014.
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